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Making Your First Trade

A step-by-step guide to placing your first prediction on OddsForge.

Before You Start

Make sure you have:

Step 1: Browse Markets

On the OddsForge homepage, you'll see a list of active prediction markets. Each market card shows:

Use the category filters and search bar to find markets that interest you. You can also sort by trending, newest, or highest volume.

Step 2: Select a Market

Click on any market to open its detailed view. Here you'll see:

Step 3: Place Your Trade

In the trading panel:

  1. Choose your position: Click YES if you think the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't.
  2. Enter your amount: Type how much USDC you want to trade (minimum is usually $1).
  3. Review the details: Check your estimated shares, potential payout, and implied probability.
  4. Approve USDC: If this is your first trade, you'll need to approve the OddsForge smart contract to spend your USDC. This is a one-time transaction.
  5. Confirm the trade: Click "Place Trade" and confirm the transaction in your wallet.
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Tip: Start with a small amount to familiarize yourself with the process. You can always increase your position later.

Step 4: Track Your Position

After your trade is confirmed, you can track it in several ways:

What Happens Next?

There are two ways your trade can end:

1. Market Resolves

When the event occurs (or the resolution deadline is reached), the market is resolved by the admin team:

2. Sell Before Resolution

You can sell your shares at any time before the market resolves. If the price has moved in your favor, you can lock in profits without waiting for resolution.

Understanding Payouts

OddsForge uses a parimutuel model. This means:

ComponentDescription
YES PoolTotal USDC placed on YES by all traders
NO PoolTotal USDC placed on NO by all traders
Total PoolYES Pool + NO Pool
Platform Fee5% deducted from losing side
Winner PayoutYour share of (Total Pool - Fee)
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Example: If the YES pool is $5,000, the NO pool is $3,000, and you trade $100 on YES — if YES wins, you'd receive approximately $100 × ($8,000 × 0.95) / $5,000 = $152.00.